Iron Dome Under Fire: A Reassessment of Israel&rsquo;s Missile Defence Might
As missiles rain across <a title="Israel" href="https://www.benefitnews24.com/international/mossad-hq-allegedly-hit-in-iranian-missile-strike/14118" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Israeli</a> skies in the wake of Operation Rising Lion, the Iron Dome &mdash; Israel&rsquo;s much-vaunted missile defence shield &mdash; has found itself at the centre of public debate. Launched to near-mythical status since its debut in 2011, Iron Dome has long been hailed as one of the world&rsquo;s most advanced short-range missile interception systems. But as Iran launches wave after wave of ballistic missiles and drones in retaliation, even Israel&rsquo;s layered air defence network is beginning to show signs of strain.
The Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) assert that only 5&ndash;10% of the more than 350 projectiles fired by <a title="Iran" href="https://www.benefitnews24.com/opinion/japan-s-tightrope-on-iran-s-nuclear-ambitions/14131" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Iran</a> over the past few days have breached the shield, yet those breaches have caused significant damage and civilian casualties &mdash; enough to prompt questions about whether this is a momentary lapse, a saturation tactic&rsquo;s success, or something more troubling: the beginning of the end of air defence invincibility.
<h3 data-start="1258" data-end="1285">How the Iron Dome Works</h3>
To understand the nature of these breaches, one must first understand how the Iron Dome functions. Designed by Rafael Advanced Defense Systems, the Iron Dome is an integrated mobile air defence system meant to intercept short-range threats, including rockets, artillery shells, and mortars, within a range of 4 to 70 kilometres.
Each Iron Dome battery consists of:
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Three to four launchers (with up to 20 interceptors each)
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A battle management control unit
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An EL/M-2084 radar detection system
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When a threat is detected, the system calculates its trajectory in real time. If the projectile is likely to hit a populated or critical area, an interceptor is launched. If it is likely to land in an open field, the system allows it to fall, thereby saving the cost of interception.
<h3 data-start="2089" data-end="2132">Costs That Soar With Every Interception</h3>
While technologically marvellous, the Iron Dome is not economically neutral. Each interceptor missile costs approximately US$50,000, and a full battery can run upwards of US$100 million. That may sound extravagant, but it is still a cost-effective solution when the alternative is infrastructure devastation and civilian loss.
However, critics argue the economics start to wobble under the stress of saturation attacks &mdash; when the enemy launches more missiles than the system can track or shoot down. Here, each intercepted missile costs tens of thousands of dollars, while offensive rockets may cost less than a few thousand each. Iran appears to have calculated this, launching dozens of decoys and low-value projectiles to overwhelm the Israeli network before introducing precision-guided missiles.
<h3 data-start="2950" data-end="2970">What Went Wrong?</h3>
Despite the multi-layered shield combining Iron Dome, David&rsquo;s Sling, and Arrow systems, several Iranian projectiles did get through. The reasons?
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Saturation Tactics: Iran likely used coordinated volleys &mdash; mixing drones, cruise missiles, and short-range rockets &mdash; to force simultaneous responses. Defence systems can only track and intercept a finite number at any given time.
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Trajectory Complexity: Some projectiles may have followed unpredictable or low-altitude paths, making interception difficult.
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Advanced Countermeasures: New Iranian missile models could have deployed decoys or electronic countermeasures, further confusing tracking radars.
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Systemic Fatigue: Repeated deployments and continuous stress on systems and operators, particularly during multi-day engagements, can lead to lapses in response time and efficiency.
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ALSO READ: https://www.benefitnews24.com/opinion/arab-silence-as-iran-burns-exposes-deep-regional-rifts/14008
<h3 data-start="3854" data-end="3890">How Air Defence Systems Can Fail</h3>
Missile defence is not invincible. It hinges on three key factors:
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Detection: Whether the incoming threat is spotted in time
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Tracking and Decision-Making: Whether the system can calculate and respond accurately
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Interception Accuracy: Whether the interceptor hits its mark &mdash; akin to a bullet hitting another bullet in mid-air
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Environmental factors such as terrain, weather, and urban clutter can interfere with radar signals. Human error, command overload, or even software flaws may contribute. No system in the world guarantees 100% success &mdash; nor should it be expected to.
<h3 data-start="4491" data-end="4511">Defining Success</h3>
Iron Dome boasts a historical interception rate of up to 97%, particularly during conflicts with Hamas or Hezbollah involving unguided rockets. In contrast, the recent Iranian strikes involved medium-range ballistic missiles, which are inherently harder to intercept.
By conventional military standards, even a 90% success rate is exceptional. If Iran launched over 350 missiles and only a small fraction struck targets, the Iron Dome is still performing remarkably. But the stakes have risen &mdash; both in technological terms and strategic consequences.
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ALSO READ: https://www.benefitnews24.com/geo-politics/g7-backs-israel-as-iran-tensions-escalate-further/14028
<h3 data-start="5083" data-end="5109">A Multi-Layered Shield</h3>
Israel doesn&rsquo;t rely on the Iron Dome alone. Its air defence umbrella includes:
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David&rsquo;s Sling: Targets medium- to long-range rockets and cruise missiles.
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Arrow 2 and Arrow 3: Intercepts ballistic missiles in the upper atmosphere and beyond.
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This layered approach allows for coverage at various altitudes and distances. Yet, even the U.S. &mdash; whose missile defence architecture includes space-based satellites, global radars, and land- and sea-based interceptors &mdash; labels its homeland defence capabilities as &ldquo;limited&rdquo; or &ldquo;demonstrated,&rdquo; not foolproof.
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<h3 data-start="5680" data-end="5706">Lessons From the Field</h3>
The key takeaway is that missile defence is not an impermeable wall; it is a dynamic shield meant to minimise &mdash; not eliminate &mdash; damage. Every strike intercepted is a life saved. But as threats evolve and adversaries adopt asymmetric or hybrid tactics, defence systems must adapt faster, become cheaper, and work more collaboratively with allies.
Israel&rsquo;s experience may now guide global reassessments. With defence analysts warning that reliance on expensive kill-vehicles is unsustainable, there's growing interest in directed-energy weapons, AI-based threat analysis, and space-based interceptors.
<h3 data-start="6333" data-end="6351">Final Thoughts</h3>
So, has the Iron Dome failed? The simple answer is &mdash; no. But it has been tested like never before. The Iranian salvo exposed its vulnerabilities, not its obsolescence. Success in missile defence is always measured not in perfect protection, but in minimised devastation.
Yet, as adversaries grow bolder and projectiles more complex, the definition of &ldquo;acceptable loss&rdquo; is changing. If the Iron Dome is to remain a model for 21st-century air defence, it must now evolve &mdash; becoming smarter, more responsive, and, most crucially, more sustainable.
Because in the skies of modern warfare, even the most ironclad shield must flex &mdash; or it will crack.
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June 18, 2025 | 16:33 IST